Posted on 17 October 2005.
Cipla, an Indian pharmaceutical company, made headlines last week when Dr. Yusuf K. Hamied, the chairman of Cipla of Bombay, announced that the company was nearly ready to begin production of a generic version of Tamiflu, Roche’s popular influenza medication. The Roche drug is reportedly protected by patents in India (and elsewhere). The clincher for this story — Dr. Hamied says Cipla will make the drug despite any patent concerns.
(stories here, here, and here)
Indian drug companies have been making knock-off versions of patented medicines for decades. So why is this story such a big deal?
Timing. It’s everything.
The current flu scare comes just 10 months after the effective date for changes made to Indian patent law to allow patents to cover pharmaceutical compositions. The Indian system changed dramatically on January 1, 2005, and many industrial sectors were not pleased with the changes — especially the generic drug manufacturing sector of the pharmaceutical industry. After all, these companies grew by legally making knock-offs, and the new patent system begins to put an end to that practice.
And now comes H5N1, the avian flu strain responsible for the current scare. Conveniently, the current scare provides a worldwide stage for the generic drug manufacturers to reassert their agenda that met defeat during debate surrounding the January changes to the law.
I didn’t expect this to come so quickly after the changes were put in place, but the tipping point may be here for the Indian patent system.
Having the right laws on the books is one thing. Industry and governmental behavior under those laws is quite another. How is the Indian pharmaceutical industry going to behave in light of the new laws? How is the government going to respond to the industry’s behavior?
Take this example — Roche apparently filed a patent application for the flu medication about two months after India began accepting applications under what is called the “mail box rule,” which allowed companies to secure priority dates after January 1, 1995 even though the respective applications could not be examined until this year (when the final TRIPs amendments were made to Indian law). This New York Times article reports that Dr. Hamied said that he thought the Indian government would be unlikely to fight over a 10–year-old difference of two months.
If deadlines are not respected in the law, they are meaningless. Dates are everything, especially in patent law. It doesn’t matter if it’s two months or two days – Roche apparently did what it had to do, under the law, to secure its patent rights.
Here’s another twist on this story. Indian patent law allows for compulsory licenses under certain circumstances. It even allows drug manufacturers to sell drugs made under such a license to underdeveloped countries that meet certain undefined criteria and that have also granted such a license. Theoretically, if an Indian company secures the proper Indian compulsory license, it could legally make a generic version of a drug in India and supply it to India and other underdeveloped countries.
Interestingly, the news stories out thus far make no mention of an application for a compulsory license to manufacture Tamiflu. Is Cipla simply going to ignore the patent and manufacture a knock-off?
The Indian system is indeed at a fork in the road. It’s only been 10 months since the final TRIPs changes were put in place, but, nevertheless, it is time for India to determine its patent fate.
Here are a few tipping point questions I have:
- Will the Indian generic manufacturers play by the new rules and respect the Roche patent?
- If they do wish to manufacture a generic drug, will they seek to do so legally (i.e., apply for a compulsory license)?
- If an application for compulsory license is made, what standard will emerge?
- If they don’t apply for a compulsory license and simply begin manufacturing the drug, how will the Indian system respond?
- If Roche has to use the Indian court system to enforce its rights, how will the Indian court handle such a high profile case? How will it apply the new laws?
- What price, if any, will the generic manufacturers have to pay for ignoring the new rules, if indeed they do?
The most interesting questions to me are these — if the generic manufacturers are allowed to manufacture a knock-off and disregard Roche’s patent rights and the compulsory license provisions altogether, without significant ramifications, how will the global pharmaceutical industry treat India – the country – in the future? Will pioneering drug companies begin to see the recent changes to the law much like the generic manufacturers apparently do – meaningless?
That’s a multi-billion dollar question…and only time will tell.